PS4 VS Switch lifetime sales, which console will sell the most?

[The_Liquid_Laser]

The_Liquid_Laser said:

PS4 will be the winner of Generation 8. Switch will be the winner of Generation 9. How will each do? PS4 will do quite well and finish in that table's S rank. Switch is another story altogether.

Switch will amaze people starting in 2019. 2018 will be a disappointing year for Switch, and Nintendo will have a fair amount of supply sitting on the shelves in most of the world. Roughly the time that Pokemon is released Switch consoles are going to start flying off the shelves. People will even say that Pokemon single-handedly saved the Switch, but the truth is that a bunch of Japanese 3rd party games will also be released around the same time. Sometime in 2019 Nintendo will run out of stock in their major territories. In 2020 and later years they are going to sell record numbers. The Switch will become this cultural phenomenon like people have never seen before.

In short this table will have to create a new SSS rank just for the Switch. It is going to get all of the people who would normally be in the handheld market plus a huge chunk of the home console market. It will be a console like no other.

This was my initial post from late 2017.  I know it sounded crazy at the time, but looking at it now I think the main thing I got wrong was the timing for when Switch would really take off.  Substitute "Animal Crossing" for where I said "Pokemon", and the prediction is not too far from what happened.  Basically my prediction was 4 months off.

Ryng said:

MY PREDICTION (As for November 13 2017)

NSW - 125m
PS4 - 120m

Poll as for November 13 2017

Will be update in future...

 

The nice thing about this thread is that the percentages in the poll now are pretty close to what they were back in 2017.  There is still a huge chunk of people who voted "PS4 will win by a huge margin".  I guess that is the benefit of creating this thread so early.