xMetroid said:
Switch will make it to 80 millions this year.
Let's say it gets replaced in 2024.
2021 - 25 millions (105)
2022 - 17 millions (122)
2023 - 13 millions (135)
2024 - 5 millions (140)
2025 and on - 2 millions (142)
That's the track i could see it heading on. It could get replaced before so in 2023 and cut it but i do think 130 millions is almost a sure thing now. We will see where they are heading this year with how they play it. How deep the price cut will be, on which model and if a new model gets released, at what price.
The PS4 was alone on the market, got like nothing wrong the whole gen and will struggle to reach 120 millions, i don't see how the PS5 will top the Switch with more competition unless there is a huge market growth.
|
While i doubt that Switch would reach 80M by the end of 2020 (my estimate 76-77M) i do agree that it might reach 140M range in life-time sales
however, i dont think the Switch would have any effect with PS5 Sales-wise as it would co-exist similarly to GBA selling like hotcakes during PS2 Behemoth era
as for why PS4 sales dropped this year is mostly due to not having a Price-Drop while Next-Gen is around the corner, if sony released a PS4 mini model for 149.99$ it would guarantee a 140M LT sales for PS4
Essay Pro