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I estimated the PS3 losses in a previous thread, though that was closed :(

Anyway, I did take into account lower PS2 sales, but slightly increased PSP sales.
Along with projected PS3 software and hardware sales.

I used a $150 loss per unit for the PS3 hardware to arrive at the small profit/small loss scenario.

To everybody, don't suddenly go knocking the $150 loss on the PS3 - that is how I have the numbers, like it or not.

If I am close in my prediction, then the numbers, while not EXACTLY CORRECT, is working for my purposes.

You can see my previous work and underlying assumptions in this closed thread:
http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?id=30468