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Honestly, given the sales the Switch got this year, and how it is expected to beat 3ed Quarter of last fiscal year, I don't think that this prediction is that bold. Honestly, 12.5 million is all but garanteed(in my view), and while 14 million is higher than that, It's not that high.

So in summary, I agree with you!

My (locked) thread about how difficulty should be a decision for the developers, not the gamers.