| theDX said: I made a fake prediction league for next week:https://thedx.bplaced.net/predictions/enter.php?game=3 |
I'm in
PS5: 110.000
XB Family: 30.000
Demon's Souls (PS5): 50.000
Marvel's Spider-Man: Miles Morales (PS5): 45.000
Call of Duty: Black Ops - Cold War (PS4): 90.000
Call of Duty: Black Ops - Cold War (PS5): 30.000
Sakuna: Of Rice and Ruin (NSW+PS4): 40.000
The one thing I'm unsure about is PS5 software, there is a possibility it's a lot lower due to scalpers and digital. Otherwise based on all anecodetes include Media Create, whether it's 100-150K doesn't change the fact that this will be a pretty sad launch for the Playstation in Japan. XB family will see a very slight growth compared to the X1, while the PS4 version of COD Cold War is going to see a decline compared to Modern Warfare last year.
Sakuna's shipment across it's platforms doesn't look like it's above 50K, hope Marvelous is prepared with enough additional shipments for the Switch version for the holiday because to me it seems like the game is going to be a hit for them in Japan. Overall it would be emblematic if at the end of the year Sakuna on the Switch ends up out-selling more than any PS5 game.
Marvelous to me seem like they will experience the most explosive growth in the coming year out of all Japanese 3rd Parties. Their revenue could more than double YoY in the next few quarters, as they have Sakuna, Olive Town and Rune Factory 5 coming out. Sakuna is from a very small team called Edelweiss so it's not a huge investment. A crucial part of the growth will the localization efforts of XSeed - I imagine that if Sakuna also does well in West digitally this year, we could have a strong result for them even this holiday season. But the key titles will obviously be Olive Town and Rune Factory 5, if they end up popular among the Animal Crossing audience we are looking at a very high potential for growth.
