130-140m
I expect the ps5 to be up a bit more than the ps4. and the xbox to be a bit down from the x1.
@RolStoppable . From your own analisis I cant realy see how you would think the xbox will increase. By the time the exclusives show up sony would already have quite a few notable big titles while still releasing their regular output. So its gona be an uphill battle to change the narrative of the lack of exclusives. At most it could go from xbox has no games, to xbox has less games. Still up in the air if they will be any good. This will give sony some very good starting momentum. If competition on the games front dosent start for MS untill 2022 or later, How big of a gap could sony have by then? Would it be to big that the snowball of "friends buying cuz friends have it" be stoped?
Also budget frindly is not something that will resonate well with the hardcore gamers, wich are the first to start the snowball effect. Thats more of a reason to buy a console for someone else like a kid or something. As you have said, gamers are older so these consoles are already budget options for adults. Its something that will impact later on on the consoles life cycle. and lets also not forget that ps5D is also the best budget option for a full 9th gen console wich is still $100 cheaper than the competition.
So yea I expect more competition from xbox, but not untill 2022. And by then we wont know if the gap from the massive head start sony got will be to much.
EDIT: Bonus. I see VR as only going up. They said that the old vr will still be compatible so the istall base wont start from zero. Depending on the price of the new one it could be big enough for real games to show up for it.
It takes genuine talent to see greatness in yourself despite your absence of genuine talent.
