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Well, I think the pandemic ended up changing their plans a little.
I imagine that the big holiday title (the one that release around november 20) would be Super mario 3D world, that appeals 2D and 3D plataformer mario audience, and would just fit with the sales-wise importance of the date.
Make more sense than Hyrule warriors, a usually niche game (that will end up being the best selling musou ever).

However the pandemic just pushed the 3d world development to next year. It would be a top notch holiday season if it was not delayed.