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Why a new console in 2022 would necessarily mean a brutal STOP for the Switch ? They can keep selling the Switch cheap at a decent pace until 2030 while there is a new gen system as main product.
They can unlock some more GPU from the current Switch, but this will never be enough to really push farther the technical limit of acceptable ports the Switch can handle. Even from 2017 to 2020, the Switch received nothing serious from Capcom and Square. I don't think that repeating the Nintendo's IP again and again on a limited hardware will be enough to keep the competition after 2022. Decreasing the price to 250$ (or offering Mario Kart 8 with the console), will offer a good boost, but for how long...