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icykai said:

Is there no data on ACNH first 3 days?

Nope.

What we do know is the following.

WW 12-day Shipped + Digital = 11,770K as of 3/31

JP 12-day Shipped + Digital = 3,840K as of 3/31

JP 3-day Physical Sell-Through = 1,880K as of 3/22

JP 10-day Physical Sell-Through = 2,608K as of 3/29

JP 17-day Physical Sell-Through = 3,031K as of 4/5

Given high sell-through %, Digital number for JP through 3/31 was estimated at 800K (so ~150-200K physical inventory available for week ending April 5).

That gives a JP digital share at around 22-24%.

Using 23% as our number, that gives 3-day sell through for JP would be est 2,440K.  Using the same ratio as 3,800/11,770 for the 3/31 number, we'd get 7,550K for first three-day sell-through.  So ~5.1M NA/EU/ROTW and ~2.4M JP.

FYI Digital Share = 50% for US/EUR/JP (CA/MX/LA/Asia/MEAA/Oceania unknown)

US/EUR/JP 5.5 week sell-through = 13,410K as of 4/25 (CA/MX/LA/Asia/MEAA/Oceania unknown)

Since Japan is known to be 22-24%, that would suggest that the EUR/US digital share is in the realm of 60%.

Last edited by mk7sx - on 26 June 2020