RolStoppable said:
Sony failed to have an event of the caliber that would have been needed for your prediction; too many of the games shown didn't get a 2021 release window, including important Sony first party games. Unless I forgot about something, the PS5 will launch with a Spiderman spinoff and some Astrobot software (apparently the latter will be preinstalled on every PS5, so it's not even meaty enough to be sold on its own). On the other hand, at this point most people expect Microsoft to launch with Halo Infinite and Forza 8. Microsoft has the more powerful console, so if they can launch that at price parity, they'll have the better first party lineup and multiplat games at the same price as a PS5. While there are still some key pieces missing, at this point the only hope for your thread is that Microsoft commits a serious blunder, like going with a two SKU strategy of a Series X and Series S that are priced $100 higher and $100 lower than the PS5, respectively. |
Forza 8 and Halo Infinite will run on Xbox One, Xbox One X, PC, and Xbox Series X. Those aren't going to move units, because everybody interested in those games has hardware to play those games already. Because of the ability to play these games on such a wide array of hardware MS effectively has nothing for launch. Sony doesn't even need to have Spiderman to beat MS in the launch lineup department, because MS set the bar so insanely low. TLoU2 and GoT ports is all it takes to match MS's sad launch offerings here. The fact that Sony has anything new for launch at all puts MS in a bad position.
What even are the sales number for Halo 5, and Forza Horizon 4 (The last two games in these series)? Did they even top 5 Million each?
