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curl-6 said:
The_Liquid_Laser said:

The Switch doesn't directly compete against the PS4, because the Wii U directly competed against the PS4.  The Switch and the PS5 are both the respective successors. 

How much do I expect PS5 to sell?  There is still more info I need, because I need to know the marketshare split between PS5 and Series X.  Neither console has even been revealed yet so that is impossible to tell.  Switch is taking away sales from both systems.  I also need to know when the Switch will peak, and that also has yet to be determined.  Giving a very rough approximation though, I'd say PS5 + Series X combined will sell about 100m +/- 30m.

See this first paragraph is just completely arbitrary. PS4/5 will fill the same market niche, a mainstream AAA machine, either Switch competes against that or it doesn't, both or neither.

And I will bet you right here and now that PS5 + XSX sell more than 130 million combined. Will you take that bet?

What is the point of betting something, when you won't know the result until about 10 years later?  I don't think either of us really knows what we'll be doing in 10 years.  If you want to bet, let's wait for them to reveal their consoles, and then we'll see if we can come up with a bet that can resolved in the next year or two.