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UnderwaterFunktown said:
The PS3 could probably have reached 100 million and matched or beaten the Wii for the gen.
But more interestingly the PS2 might not be the best selling console if this was the case. Part of why it reached such ridiciolous sales was that it didn't really slow down at all when the PS3 first launced because it was waay more expensive. A 400 $ launch point might not have made a huge difference in PS2 sales since it was still significantly cheaper, but it could maybe have put it at an even 150 mil, which the DS would then beat later on. Just speculation ofc, but it's interesting to think that consoles can also compete with their own follow up. In the same way the DS might have sold more if the 3DS hadn't gotten its early price cut and maybe the PS4 isn't geting a price cut now because it could hurt PS5 sales (at least early on, in the long run it's harder to say).

I don't think it would have affected PS2 much. The people waiting to buy the PS2 for $149 would be the same people who would wait for the PS3 to hit $149, $199 max.  And once the PS2 hit $79-$99, it became cheap enough to become an impulse buy.  It also sold to many newer, poorer countries that Sony expanded into at the end of the gen. So, max I think it would have lowered it by 1M-2M.