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Nu-13 said:
DonFerrari said:

So one month of data is enough to predict the rest of the year and the year beyond? But using the whole sales curve would be bad right?

I really want to see this scenario where this year PS4 sells only 6M.

Now this is just priceless. For starters, math would do wonders for you since we have two months of data (not 1) for 2020 and a 45% decline would result in a little under 8m (not 6) for the year. Are you seriously complaining about me using 2020 numbers to predict 2020 numbers? What else do you expect me to use? 2014 numbers? 2015? History says the decline will not stop until discontinuation, so YES, I can use recent numbers to make estimations for this year and beyond. And the hell are you talking about sales curve? It's declining, no mistery here.

Instead of downplaying my predictions because you dislike the numbers in them, why don't you show your own predictions and argument why you think they will come true?

My LTD prediction is 120-130M and have been for like 2 years.

And which 2 years of data you have? VGC? Because NPD we have one month, Japan we have almost 2 (but it already declined there a lot), Europe and RoW we have 0. So I'm sorry if we don't trust your pessimistic prediction that PS4 could even not pass GB 120M even if it needs to ship about 10M for that.



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."