| numberwang said: Everybody is frantically posting every computer simulation, model, prediction, etc. that they found on the web and I don't have the time to explain the difference between those and reality for every case. Models aren't reality, only direct observations/measurements are. Lot's of models now mix real measurements with simulated "data" to create the appearance of objectivity, another trap to behold. A good example for the distinction between model and data is the "Drowning of the Maldives" hysteria which has been predicted forever. After all, the models claim a hockey stick warming and sea level rise. The science is settled, only deniers disagree. Maldives are drowning in 1837 (!) -- the hysteria began early.
https://trove.nla.gov.au/newspaper/article/4173156 Drowning again predicted in 1988
http://trove.nla.gov.au/newspaper/article/102074798 Perpetual drowning in 2018, it just never stops
So much for the models but what about reality? Curb your enthusiasm, the Maldives have.... grown bigger, the oceans declined. The old man shows you were the sea line was when he was younger. Real observations vs. fake modelling.
Observational facts do not verify the story of a rapidly rising sea level in the Maldives. On the contrary, stability in sea level is well documented for the last 30-40 years.... As their [IPCC] idea is not based on actual field studies only modeling, our observational facts should be held superior. http://myweb.wwu.edu/dbunny/pdfs/Evid_Based_Climate_Sci/Ev_Based_Climate_Sci_Chap7.pdf That objective led a fieldwork team to the Maldives, and resulted in a conclusion that sea level in the islands fell by approximately 30 cm during the past few decades. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921818105000780 |
That's because the land surface is rising
http://theconversation.com/maldives-climate-change-could-actually-help-coral-islands-rise-again-but-theyre-still-at-risk-106586
Land uplift like in Finland is causing the same confusion and not just there, it happens everywhere
https://www.maanmittauslaitos.fi/en/research/interesting-topics/land-uplift
https://www.freep.com/story/news/local/michigan/2018/03/02/michigan-great-lakes-ice-age/363316002/
And it's not just up or down, sideways as well. When I was still working with digital maps the company I worked for told us that they had to adjust all their data periodically because otherwise the digitized roads wouldn't match up with GPS anymore. Tectonic plate drift didn't stop because we became intelligent...
Measuring sea levels from space is more accurate, but we've only had that tech for the last couple decades
