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DonFerrari said:

PS4 BOM estimate was 20 dollar less than retail price (380 vs 399), and at that time Sony didn't know PS+ would bring so much money.

We are still 10 months away from launch so this rumored 450 cost could decrease a little and Sony could be willing to lose a little more money because it hardly would launch for like 474,99 =p

So there is chance they will release for 450 and tie our bet.

The cost to manufacture each next-gen console could potentially increase between now and then as well... As there is a NAND shortage which is set to increase costs.
NAND is a commodity product so it is heavily influenced by supply/demand market pressures.

https://www.techpowerup.com/262571/nand-flash-prices-to-rise-up-to-40-in-2020

GDDR6 is also set to increase in price this year as well.
https://www.dramexchange.com/WeeklyResearch/Post/2/9493.html

This was always going to be a potential logistical issue when they switched from mechanical to solid state storage, hopefully they have supply contracts and secured a fixed long-term price.

DonFerrari said:

2 points I would like to make.

Wasn't the cost of RROD like 2.5B? And yes I would say today Xbox as a whole would have at least broke even all they have invested.

Yep he doesn't get tired to have 4 different "final numbers" that are different. =p

Apparently a billion dollars?
https://www.kitguru.net/gaming/console-desktop-pc/matthew-wilson/the-xbox-360s-red-ring-of-death-issue-cost-microsoft-1-15-billion/

https://www.businessinsider.com.au/when-all-the-xbox-360s-broke-2015-8?r=US&IR=T

Not exactly chump change, would have sunk a small business that is for sure.

*********
He has basically panted a target with a heap of values between 9 Teraflops and 12 teraflops, so he has to land on a correct "guess" with a 3 teraflop sized target, right? It's basically like saying water is wet at this point.




www.youtube.com/@Pemalite