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the-pi-guy said:
Torillian said:

We'll just have to wait and see, I personally think he's got a decent shot at this point: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-forecast/

It's still stunning how quickly the model changed.  

In like a week, Bernie pretty much doubled his chances.  

DarthJarvis said:

Bernie notoriously over performs in caucuses. After NH and Vermont he'll be finishing 3rd pretty substantially 

On the other hand that was how he performed against Hillary, doesn't necessarily mean it'll hold up.

Bernie = Ron Paul.