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shikamaru317 said:
trunkswd said:
It really depends how long the Coronavirus outbreak lasts for. The PS5 and Xbox Series X likely won't enter production until the summer. I'm guessing Sony and Microsoft will want 2-3 million consoles ready for launch.

True, but even though the consoles themselves likely aren't in full production yet, the virus outbreak could cause a shortage of some of the individual parts that will go into the consoles, like the RAM and SSD's, which in turn could delay production and cause a supply shortage of the new consoles on release. 

I would think that Sony at least will want more than 2-3m. Sony sold 4.4m PS4's Holiday 2013, and that was with supply issues, so they will probably want at least 5m PS5s ready by the end of 2020. MS sold 3m XB1's Holiday 2013 and didn't have the supply issues that Sony did, so 3m XSX units (or a mix of XSX and XSS units if XSS makes 2020) might be enough for them, though depending on pricing and launch exclusives XSX could be more heavily in demand on launch than XB1 was, so they might need even more than 3m as well. 

Yes Sony and Nintendo had factories for the console outside China, but will be hard to ensure all the suppliers for parts can have a smooth delivery for it.

And yep quite reasonable to expect Sony to want 5M ready by launch and MS 3-4M.



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."