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Nu-13 on 05 February 2020
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yo33331 said:
Nu-13 said:

Oh my. By your first sentence, you seem to imply that the switch will only do 110m at best. You must have "interesting" predictions for the next few years.

Very funny. There isn't a realistic scenario for the ps4 to reach those numbers. Sony would have needed a $199 price tag by the end of 2017 or something similar.

I don't really get what you're trying to say on that last paragraph. It appears that you're trying to downplay sales of cheaper products, completely ignoring that price is the most basic part of a business strategy. And for the record, the switch hasn't received a price cut in almost 3 years while the ps4 already had 2 in that time frame and is still tracking ahead. Add that to your list of things to consider.

2017? and why ? what is the logic to do a major permanent pricecut of 100$ when your console is at its peak? I don't get it. Even 2018 was not okay for pricecut. I mean 2018 was still second best year of PS4. 2019 I think the pricecut had to happen but it didn't. 2020 is still not too late. If they do a price cut now this month with the revealing of PS5, to permanent 199$ and with the titles that are coming this year, PS4 could easily hit 14M for the year, reaching 120M by december 31. From there on the drops that would face without pricecut will be way smaller. For example without pricecuts PS4 may get 10 to 12M this year and possibly 7 - 8M next year. With the pricecut however of 199$ permanent PS4 can reach 14M this year, and around 10-11M next year, which will put it at 130M with 2021, then let's say 6-7M in 2022, then again 2 paths one without more pricecuts, so 2023 4M and 3-4M in the next 2-3 years so around 145M lifetime, or with anouther pricecut to 149$ or 129$ in 2023 and with this making around the same 6-7M in 2023, with 4-5M in 2024 and 5M more for the following 2-3 years, which will put it at around 155M lifetime, very close to PS2 and just barely above DS.

And then of course the case of no pricecut at all until death, I bet the number will be no more than 130M total.

Your post can come from one of two things, both of which bode poorly. I'll just say AGAIN that that is the price ps4 NEEDED if it wanted to reach those lifetime sales you mentioned. I didn't read the rest.