Here's how the next gen is gonna play out

[Pyro as Bill]

Shadow1980 said:
I think the PS5 and XSX will be closer in sales than the PS4 and XBO were. The XBO was less powerful than the PS4, yet cost $100 more at launch because of the forced bundling of Kinect. Between that and the PR debacles in the months leading up to launch, they lost significant market share this generation. I think they've learned from their mistakes, and the XSX, even if it costs $100 more than the PS5, could still succeed if the rumored specs are true, but MS will have to rely heavily on marketing the system as being so powerful that the higher price is worth it (and of course there's still the rumored lower-spec model).

I think the XSX and PS5 will be about tied in the U.S. and UK. Continental Europe will still be PlayStation Country, but the gap won't be nearly as big. The XSX will probably still flop in Japan, though. Overall, I think the generation will end with the PS5 at 100M and the XSX at 70M.

As for Nintendo, I think they'll simply make a Switch 2. The Switch's hybrid design is a winning formula for Nintendo, and I think they'll simply make a next-gen Switch, likely with power at least on par with the base PS4 while undocked, with a full 1080p screen, and possibly capable of 4K resolutions while docked.

As big as MS's fuckups were, they still didn't drop to 14m like Nintendo did. I think 40/170 is the lowest they'll ever go assuming they receive the same 3rd party support. Their upside is at least 85/170.

Had this generation resulted in an extra 50m console owners, the next gen might have played out differently but it's conclusive now that they're fighting over the exact same 170-180m people. Both of them have to go for growth - PC.

Sometimes I wonder whether the WiiU was just a slowball to trick MS/Sony into a false sense of security. As borked as the 3DS was, it still saw off Sony from the portable market paving the way for Switch.