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I think motion-control will be standard on all next-generation systems, but it'll be much more refined and blended in better with current control types (except for Nintendo - they'll be onto something better - mind control?). So some cross between the wavebird and wii-mote.
If Nintendo and Microsoft both switch over to 'next' gen in about 5 years from now, meaning Wii-HD and Xbox720 with motion controls, I can't see how Sony can stick to it's 10 year plan for the PS3. They'd get creamed.