| RolStoppable said: The Ravens also make errors in coaching decisions. They should have gone for a field goal in the third quarter when the game was still close enough, instead they got stuffed by the Titans defense. And now that they've got their first TD, they go for a 2PC. Psychologically, you shouldn't go for a 2PC until you really have to. At 22 points down, you do 7, 7 and then 8 to tie the game. You don't go for 8 the first time, because if you fail like the Ravens did, you are forced to go for 2PCs another two times. |
Assuming you're committed to a scenario where you're down 22, have to score three times and never let the other team score to win, going for 2 on the first try is exactly what you should do, because you're going to have to try a two point conversion regardless.
On the one hand, if you try the 2 point conversion on the first attempt and fail, then you at least still have a chance (albeit a small one) by getting successful conversions on the next two tries. Failing the first two point isn't an immediate death knell.
On the other, if you wait until the last touchdown to go for two and fail, then you're almost assuredly screwed. There's no way to make up those lost points, barring an onside kick or something. Failing the first (and only) two point try is a near guaranteed game over.
Whether you try sooner or later, your chances of converting a two point are the same. But if you try it early on and fail, you still have opportunities to make up for it.
