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shikamaru317 said:

I'm going to say never. PS4 will almost certainly hit 120m, possibly even 125-130m depending on price cuts and game support after PS5 releases. I doubt Switch will reach that high, I suspect that Nintendo will release Switch 2 by Holiday 2022 at the latest, and I just can't see Switch selling that much before then, it would have to pull off an average of 25m a year in 2020, 2021, and 2022 in order to hit 125m. Switch passing PS4 is not impossible, especially if Switch 2 is 2023 rather than 2022, or if they manage to get Switch Lite down to maybe $120 and Switch down to $200 by Holiday 2021, but never is a safer bet imo. 

You have a lot of explanning to do on why you think sales drop to 0 when a successor releases. And following that logic, why you don't expect the ps4 to stop selling the moment ps5 shows up. I expect the switch to be over 110m by dec 31 2022 and it won't magically stop selling because it's successor just came out.

Last edited by Nu-13 - on 11 January 2020