PS4 VS Switch lifetime sales, which console will sell the most?

[The_Liquid_Laser]

zorg1000 said:

curl-6 said:

I feel like due to its much greater sales and popularity PS4 will not drop off as fast as PS3 did. It's also made of more off-the-shelf parts so it could go to lower prices than PS3 ever did like $199.

PS4 is already declining at a faster rate than PS3 though.

PS3

2011 (Year 5), +6%

2012 (Year 6), -15%

2013 (Year 7), -31%

PS4

2018 (Year 5), -8%

2019 (Year 6), -23%

2020 (Year 7), ????

It has been over 3 years since the last permanent price drop and they have gone with the same $199 price point for 3 black fridays in a row, Sony has no desire to go lower in price. At most we will get a $149 firesale when it's getting phased out.

I agree with what you are saying, and I want to add that PS4 sales are fairly normal.  The PS3 sales trajectory was unusual, because it didn't have many early adopters.  It launched too expensive and a lot of people bought the cheaper Wii at first.  Then they bought a PS3 or XB360 a few years later when the prices dropped enough.

PS4 launched at a reasonable price, and so it should have had its successor launch after 6 years like the PS1 and PS2.  I also agree that it might not get much of a price cut if any, at least not until the PS5 launches.  Sony will probably sell a few more PS4's if they cut the price, but that doesn't mean they will increase profitability.  I think they are more likely to keep prices up just to keep profits up.