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Kai_Mao on 20 November 2019
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RolStoppable said:
Amnesia said:

So does this mean that there is only one potential full boost for the Switch, which will be Animal Crossing ? Because then, except an eventual new Pikmin, there is nothing left to attract new players who doesn't have already a Switch.

That's not how console sales works. The 3DS had only Super Smash Bros. for 3DS left after Pokémon X/Y as all other big Nintendo IPs had already been released for the 3DS, but another ~11m in hardware sales got added to the ~13m that had been sold by the time X/Y launched. In other words, there's no need to worry that Switch could sell less than 20m lifetime in Japan, because that's simply not going to happen.

Pikmin doesn't do anything worth mentioning for hardware sales, so it shouldn't even be brought up.

The line of thinking that "nothing is left" doesn't make sense for two big reasons:

1. Sequels to big IPs also push hardware sales.

2. Nintendo can create new IPs that attract new players. See: Ring Fit Adventure.

The only thing I worry about is the 3rd party support, especially on the side of the higher tier Japanese developers. With all the success stories surrounding Switch, companies like Capcom are kinda dragging their feet when it comes to supporting Switch with new games (not ports of old games). Games like Granblue Fantasy Vs., Guilty Gear 2020, Project Sakura Wars, etc. are not coming to Switch or even hinted of possibly even being ported to Switch. I know there are games like NMH3, Digimon Survive, and the Trials of Mana remake coming to Switch, but I think there is potential for more, especially now that the userbase is going to be more than sizable enough that bigger companies can't ignore.