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VAMatt said:

Seems extremely unlikely to be the case.  Activision knows how sensitive everyone is to loot boxes right now, so they'd have to be pretty stupid to think they could get away with lying about the odds.  

But, if that's true, they're clearly guilty of fraud.  They'll also be facing a class action lawsuit in short order.  These two factors make it even less likely that they're lying though.  They know they'd get caught if they did.  

Activision-Blizzard, I guess more the Blizzard side but still, very recently lied to us, so yeah they are that stupid to think we're that stupid.