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Farsala said:

Japan- For sure

Americas- I expect 3-5m less, but still plausible.

Europe- If Nintendo isn't price cutting anytime soon, then I don't know how they will get the sales

Other- Wildcard

Switch will have better legs than the Wii, but that doesn't mean it isn't on a time limit. Once it finally gets a price cut, it may be too late to wring out fantastic sales.

3DS was very frontloaded in Japan, but I think most consoles are. Switch Lite will fix things, but sales might drop off quickly. After the 3DS resurgence in FY2017, Japan didn't recover like the Americas and Europe did.

It has a monopoly on one of the markets its in any time limit is very minor as the's no real alternative for consumers in one particular market, when GB had a monopoly it was on the market for 10 years before the enhanced version in the GBC model arrived.