OTBWY said:
colafitte said:
Yeah, you're correct of course, but what i meant is that Nintendo, with this strategy bets all the success of their home console in just a few games. If the main Mario and/or Zelda are a huge commercial and/or criticial success it's almost a guarantee the console is going to be a succeess too and other first party IP's are going to receive the attention to flourish and sell well (like Mario Party, Metroid, Fire Emblem, Donkey Kong, ...etc). But, if the main Mario or Zelda game is not really popular or a sales phenomena it drags the sales of the console like it happened with the WiiU or GC. That's what i meant, i find this strategy really unbalanced and more than ever now that they have decided to aim for the all in one hybrid console style like the Switch.
If it works it's really, i mean REALLY profitable for them, but if not......Nintendo will find themselves in a far worse situation that what they were during 2013-2015 era.
That's why i think Switch, despite having such a success this gen with milestone record sales for some of their franchises won't reach Wii lifetime software sales and that could put Nintendo in an impossible situation with the Switch succesor. Next gen consoles launching next year won't help receiving more 3rd party support either, so Nintendo will have the pressure to launch sequels to beloved games that had put the bar way too high. Is Nintendo capable of doing that?, of course, but this is the hardest way of achieving success.
As for the prediction, i side by Switch being more than 18M this year too, but a few weeks ago i was almost certain it would ship more than 20M this year, but i'm not as sure anymore. 19M still seems like the safest bet this year.
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I know you're trying to reintroduce this "3rd party won't sell on Nintendo" narrative, but is there actual real data behind this. We don't have exact numbers on software on this site anymore, I kind of want you to elaborate on your conclusion.
About the part in bold: Some people on this site (not naming names) tried to convince others here that the Switch is not competing with the Playstation or the Xbox. So why would it be competing with the Scarlett and PS5? Seems like a lot of wishful thinking for when it suits another curious narrative.
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Let me explain then...
1st thing. We have the list of the best 12 selling games on Switch according to Nintendo (all of them 1st party), i summed the number and it gave me 100M games sold. We have 210M units of software sold on Switch. My point was that Nintendo games represent most of the sales of the console. I found that "an unbalanced strategy of success" as i explained in that point. You are welcome to agree or disagree.
The second point is related to the first. If Nintendo has not received great support from EA, Ubisoft, Activision, Capcom, ... until now, with the launch of next gen consoles and the focus those companies are going to made into PS5 and XBO, i think there's even less chances that Switch will receive more support than the one is receiving right now. I was not saying PS5 sales will impact Switch sales. So no, no curious narrative, is very straight forward what i was saying and based on actual data provided by Nintendo, just maths.
In conclusion: Nintendo Switch is mainly a Nintendo games console, that's all.
