Chrkeller said:
It isn't and pricing will be a hurdle. But we could use Vudu as a better example. It really doesn't matter. We will have a ps5, but I am not sure about a ps6. We most certainly will not have a ps7. 1) Internet speeds continue to improve, stuff like 5G has a lot of promise. It won't be long before GB speeds are flat out normal. 2) We already have storage space issues, which will only get worse with ps5 games via native 4k textures. RDR2 was two bluray disks, FFVII Episode I will be two disks as well. And per Sony's own ps5 announcements, standard drives aren't fast enough for that size of games, hence why they are exploring other storage solutions. 3) Sony (and MS) lose money selling hardware, it isn't in their best interest to keep hardware around, not when the market is ready for the transition. Why would Sony want to keep hardware that they lose money on when they can replace it with a subscription that will generate millions upon millions a year??? 4) Eco and green are huge among the younger generation. Think of all the eco friendly aspects of not selling 100 million pieces of hardware and hundreds of millions of games in plastic cases. 5) The younger generation is also very experience driven, more so than being into ownership. The younger generation will drive markets, and ownership isn't their driving point. They are ok with streaming. Again, I am not saying this will happen in a year, or two. Probably not even 10. But it is inevitable. Technology moves forward and so do the people. I remember when a bunch of older people at work made fun of me because I never bothered to get a landline for my phone needs..... how'd that work out for them? |
I agree that by 2030 there will either be no PS6 or it will be a flop.
How quickly do you think internet speeds will reach a point where 90% of consumers have what it takes to stream 4K?
PS1 games came on multiple disks. They still sold amazingly well. There may be a new disk format in the future that allows for larger files on a single disk.
I really don't think the market is quite ready for streaming. A company putting out its own hardware makes 1st party games extremely profitable. That's why both Sony and Nintendo have been pushing hard to put out as many high selling 1st party games as they can. Those games are 70% profit or higher.
Eco and green are not huge among the younger generation. Apathy is.
The younger generation is very experience driven? What makes you think that? I have no clue what the kids in middle and high school are like these days. Do you have a study on them or something causing you to believe that they are all about experiences, instead of ownership?
I agree that eventually hardware will die off though, and the only thing left will be a small niche PC hardware market, with streaming, microtransactions, horrible level design, ugly art, etc. I expect the same thing to happen to games that has happened to music in the last 30 years. The quality will drop off a cliff. But by the time that happens it will be 2030 and I'll be 46. Just like how you can mine the past for decades worth of great music, people will be able to mine the past for decades of great games.
