| HappySqurriel said: Last year there was (essentially) 9 weeks which represented the holiday boost for the Wii: VGChartz Hardware data for the period 10th Nov 2007 to 05th Jan 2008:
All things considered, I wouldn't be too surprised to see Nintendo sell 1/5 to 1/3 more units in 2008 than they did in 2007 which would work out to 7.25 to 8 Million units sold over the Christmas 2008 holiday season. |
That is where I was basing my numbers. Nintendo sold 6.1 million last year and the Wii was a WW sellout. This year with a full year of 1.8 million production levels and possibly a few month of 2.3-2.5 this CMas will be bigger, we may not see the 700 dollar Wiis on ebay, but it will be severly constrained in many places.
Also I did not figure the huge affect animal crossing could have in Japan because it has not been announced yet. The numbers I gave are middle of the line. The final tally might be much higher. I really think supply allowing the Wii could pull off a 2 million week the week of CMAS.
End of 2009 Predictions (Set, January 1st 2009)
Wii- 72 million 3rd Year Peak, better slate of releases
360- 37 million Should trend down slightly after 3rd year peak
PS3- 29 million Sales should pick up next year, 3rd year peak and price cut
