| zorg1000 said: 2018 thru March 17 PS4-3.38 million NSW-2.33 million 2018 total PS4-18.00 million NSW-16.33 million 2019 thru March 16 PS4-2.70 million (-20.1%) NSW-2.98 million (+27.9%) 2019 total using current YoY % PS4-14.38 million NSW-20.89 million I have a hard time imagining PS4 being so close to NSW overall this year. |
Using % for all the year is a bad calculation. Just because in those months those were the % doesn't mean when holiday season arrives PS4 will sell 20% less and Switch 30% more than in 2018. It doesn't work that way.
PS4 was selling less during the year last year but when holiday season came, the % difference was more closer. As for Switch, Switch was behind during Jan-Oct 2018 compared to Launch-Oct 2017 and thanks to a way better holiday season it sold 3M more.
I'm pretty sure Switch won't have a 30% better Q3 in 2019 than in 2018, and considering almost half of the sales from Nintendo consoles usually come during that period, you should expect a lot less than 20'9M sold...In my humble opinion, Switch will aim this year to reach 18M sold to consumers, and right now it's on pace of doing it, but we still need more data and time to know what to expect for all the year.
And because holiday season 2019 for PS4 can be similar to 2018, you can expect PS4 being more than 15M too.
That's what i think will happen.
