Back to the old 50% marketshare argument...
Yeah, I think it will hit 50% this year (probably just before Xmas) - but no way to know if it will stay over 50%. It will almost certainly lose marketshare over Xmas (like last year), but maybe less so if Ninty have the supply issue more under control.
Its at 46% now, and generally outselling both consoles combined weekly - so its not a huge stretch to imagine it could outsell both (combined) for the next 4-5 months.
Gesta Non Verba
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