I think 2022 at earliest, that would be 5 years and while I know Nintendo said they want the Switch life cycle to be longer than normal that fully depends on what revisions come along the way, such as the rumored Switch Mini and Switch Pro.
The problem is once the next gen PS and Xbox arrive in what a lot of people assume will be 2020, that will make third party support infinitely harder for the Switch to maintain as the gap in tech will be even wider. Usually for the first 1-2 years of a new generation games are cross-gen though, so I think any cross gen games (AKA still releasing on PS4 and Xbox One) in 2020 and 2021 can still possibly get Switch ports, but once everything transitions fully to only the next gen PS/Xbox then the gap might just be too wide for most big games.
I personally don't want to see a Switch Pro as that would just divide the current install base if games come out that can only be played on that more powerful model, but then again that did happen with the New 3DS and Xenoblade Chronicles 3D so it's not out of the question and it probably would ensure they can keep third party support for a bit longer before moving onto their next console. I'd rather them just wait a few years and release a full blown next gen Switch though.
Last edited by FloatingWaffles - on 26 February 2019
