Ideal month of launch for a console?

[Trumpstyle]

RolStoppable said:

Robert_Downey_Jr. said:

Do you actually think they could launch in September or October and NOT have big holiday sales?  Like that bump is gonna be there regardless

That's actually possible, because it shouldn't be taken for granted that Sony gets things right with the PS5. If they commit a blunder while Microsoft does a decent job with their next Xbox, we'd be looking at a PS5 in a slump in October and the first 2-3 weeks of November (assuming a September launch) and then a rather modest holiday season, because the word going around would be that Xbox is the new console to buy. Of course sales go up during the holiday season, but you can't take it for granted that it's always going to be big.

I think that's the catch with this thread. Despite it never being said, your assumption is that PS5 and Nextbox will be a repeat of PS4 and XB1 while I don't use the same premise because it has yet to be seen what Sony and Microsoft have in mind for their next consoles. For the PS4 it wouldn't have been detrimental to launch in a month other than November, but for the XB1 it would have been, because the holiday launch masked its problems for a while. I guess I could simply ask you if you think that a non-holiday launch would have been better for the XB1.

Reading your posts, I take it November 2019 would be ideal launch for PS5 with the Last of us 2 as a cross-gen title?? Then Sony can have several cross-gen titles games throughout 2020 and have 1-year lead on Microsoft, it's like a 3x win.

For Xbox two, they probably launch fall 2020 with Halo infinite as a cross-gen title but if Sony has 1 year lead it's already over right? You seems to have analyze this stuff a bit to much but what is the ideal launch time for the next-gen consoles, 2019 for PS5 seems to the best strategy but Sony probably still stuck in the old world and will launch in 2020.