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There is always shortages come holidays on launch year, and I feel it "wastes" some of the potentiall sales a holiday could bring.
Thus I think its actually smarter to launch earlier on in the year, say around April.

That way you get the launch boost effect (hardcore day1 buys) and have enough time to stock up again, for the first holidays.
Nintendo did it the right way imo, with the Switch.

Launch it early in the year, instead of at the end.
I think it leads to better sales, overall and early gen, stuff like that matters.