Miyamotoo said:
I change quite a bit my post, so if you can reply to my changed post. Also, thats huge drop from 18m to 11m, I dont see thats kind of drop is possible in 4. year on market for Switch. Only around 10m more than 3DS sound to little for Switch. |
Your 2019 and 2020 FY are very optimistic for my tastes. There's where our main differences come between us.
And yes, I expect a huge drop in shipments in FY 2020. By 2020-2021 I expect Switch saturation mixed by next gen hype absorbing all the attention by the people who buys switch only as a home console. Remember that sales and shipments doesn't work the same so that's why expect some differences between sales and shipments with more sales than shipments in some years.
Maybe in 2020 I was too low, maybe 12M instead of 11M and 9M instead of 10M in 2021 would be better.