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I posted the same question with different words when I asked if the Wii will reach >= 50% market share in 2008 back in February or so.

Personally, I sort of doubt it for this year.  The primary reason is that the Wii supply has not yet reached the 2.4 million units that Nintendo said they'd shoot for and the secondary reason is that the PS3 is doing a little better than expected.  It's still possble, but Nintendo would have to ramp up supply significantly.