colafitte said:
"Stupid metric"...., ok. Whatever you say... I did not used only ratios, i posted exactly how much sold rest of Europe in 2017 and 2018, pointing out it was a 100% growth. This is very easy: Find a country in Europe where Switch has sold 100% or more than the year before and then i can start believe i'm wrong, and if you find more than one, the better. I prefer to have actual data and being wrong than the contrary. Until then i will keep MY OPINION about Europe being overtracked. As for the second point. I guess you want to say that in 2016 UK, GE and FR sold less and the rest of Europe sold more than the year before. But how that matters when what i'm discussing is the level of growth so big compared to a year before? Even that number you post is not a 100% growth from the year before...so what then?
If you find normal that Italy, Portugal, Netherlands, Greece, Belgium, Sweden, Austria, Poland, ..........(all the rest of countries that VGC count as Europe alongside UK, FR, GE and Spain) grow combined around 100% or more than the year before....good for you!. I'm not trying to force my opinion in you. Believe what you want. I'm only giving perspective of the situation so anyone can make their own conclusion. You made yours and i made mine. |
Here is another way to look at things.
2017
UK-680k
France-910k
Spain-300k
Portugal-20k
Combined-1910k
In Nintendo's Q3 FY presentation last year, they had a graph showing Switch had sold ~3.5 million in Europe as of January 20, 2018 so 3.3-3.4 million at the end of 2017 sounds about right.
That means those 4 countries made up roughly ~57 % of Europe sales. Now let's look at this years numbers.
2018
UK-820k
France-1130k
Spain-390k
Portugal-50k
Combined-2390k
Assuming those 4 countries still make up ~57% of Europe sales than it would have sold ~4.2 million in 2018 for a grand total of 7.5-7.6 million LTD for Europe so that would be about ~500k overtracked.
When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.