Spindel said:
colafitte said:
Those european numbers for Switch are really weird though. I still think VGC is overtracking big time Switch in Europe.
We had, with a week left, 15% growth YOY in France (we know it has to be 24% in the end), 10% growth YOY in UK (we know it has to be 20% in the end) and VGC is showing a 17% growth YOY in Germany already (we don't know official data yet here) but VGC is showing a whooping 34% growth YOY in all Europe with that week left of the year. Is that even possible when the 3 biggest markets....by far, are around 10-15%, and all Europe around 34%???. So what then? in Spain, Italy, Portugal, Sweden, Netherlands, .... is a 50-60% growth YOY? It has to be if in Europe is so big the growth...
According to VGC Switch sold 3'4M in Europe in 2017 and it seems is on pace to 4'8M in 2018. That would be a 41% growth YOY in Europe. Knowing UK and France numbers already i find it very difficult to be true.
On the other side, if my maths are correct, Switch is going to be around 1'2M (365k+392k+ around 440k = 1'2M) in USA in December with a week left according to VGC, so maybe finishing the year around 1'4-1'5M. That seems too low.
As for the rest of the world (not USA+EU+JP markets), Switch did 1'6M in 2017 and is alrady around 2'9M in 2018 with a week left. That's a 81% growth YOY (even with a week left).
My guess: USA is going to be undertracked around 500k at least (probably more), EU is going to be overtracked by around 500-600k (at least, too), and ROTW i really don't know anything here how it works, but a 85-90% growth YOY is reaaaaally a lot, so i won't be surprised if it's overtracked too.
For PS4 numbers....well, it seems it only needs around 500-600K in the last week (and maybe some tweaking in VGC numbers) to be on par with official numbers.
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I'm not saying that you are wrong, but you can't disregard eastern europe.
If who I get paired with in online matches in MK8D, Spaltoon 2 and SSBU, is a sign of anything it seems that Swtich is really popular in Poland (population 38 million) and Russia (population 145 million (and most of them living west of Ural)). Of course Russia is on average poorer than western europe, but they are not that poor, Poland is close to western europe tho.
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I am a french living in Hungary so I think my position is fair to talk :
Eastern Europe is having a GDP increase of about 4% or more these last few years. Their average salary almost doubled between 2010 and 2019. I am the one who has the shitty smartphone at 100€ where my hungarian colleagues all have much more expensive phones. Buying a console at 250 or 350 is not a big problem today in Eastern Europe. Ofcourse, even if the West is in an economical stagnation, they remain much richer and capable of buying. I think a strong marketing dedication could produce significant sales numbers in the future for East.
