Farsala said:
It depends on Next gen of course. Consider PS2 it was at like ~112m at PS3 launch. 70% of its sales. The PS2 had great legs and late international launches like in Brazil. Consider PS3 it was at like ~80m at PS3 launch. 90% of its sales. The PS3 had poor legs. Now PS4 is at 91.6m. if we assume that is 75% of its sales then it will go on to sell ~120m. 80% would bring it lower, but I went higher due to PS5 not launching yet. As I said I think 110m-120m is the safe bet. 105m-115m or 115m-125m would be pretty safe too, but a bit more risky. 100m-110m or 120m-130m would be even riskier, and so on and so forth. |
So what or where do you expect the PS4 to be at the launch of the PS5?
For me;
If PS5 releases in March 2020: PS4 2019 (15M) + PS4 2020 (5M) = 111M LTD PS4 sales. In this case I could say its lifetime sales would be hardly any more than 120M
If PS5 releases in Nov 2020: PS4 2019 (15M) + PS4 2020 (12M) = 118M LTD PS4 sales. In this case I can see lifetime sales being around 130M