| colafitte said:
1. TLOU 2 is coming maaaan, i can feel it. Sony needs a huge blockbuster 1st party game for the holiday season. They always have one, and it's not going to be Dreams or Ghost of Tsushima, so it will be Death Stranding and/or The Last of Us Part II and i bet in the latter. |
Thats the thing..... sony doesnt need anything for the 2019 holiday season. My reasoning here is I am looking at it from a Fiscal Year perspective. If the PS4 launches in the 4Q 2019 FY that means it launches between january and march 2020. If TLOU2 is released anytime from april 2019 to march ending 2020 then it will still cunt for the Apr 2019- Mar 2020 FY. But holding off the release to be a launch title for the PS5 while also being available for the PS4 ensures it still gets the sales n the PS4 and that there is a big game to launch the PS5 with.
The PS4 would already be at 100M by september this year. They have RE2, KH3, Dreams and Days gone this year alon with all the usual Multiplatform games. They can ride out this year and build up for an early 2020 launch.
| colafitte said:
2. I was team early 2020 for PS5 too, but i think Sony will wait until 2020 to announce PS5 and launch at the end of the yeat to maximize PS4 hardware and software sales. There's still a lot of sales on PS4 life.
|
They dont have to "maximize" PS4 sales. At this point they dont have much more to gain. Especially considering the people buying a console for $400-$500 are not the people buying it for $200-$250 which are the people buying a PS4 between fall this year and fall next year. Everything they need to make a PS5 that will release in fall 2020 will be available by fall 2019 and the only issue may be games. Thats the only reason they will not release early 2020, if there are no games to launch with the system.
Just remember, in its first year and at $400 - $500 the PS5 is for those that bought a PS4 in 2013-2014 or a PS4pro in 2016. Not for those who will only buy it when it costs $300 two or three years later.
| colafitte said:
3. They will make a price cut if they're feeling they sell less than 16M, and because i'm not betting it will sell less than 16M, consequently probably won't exist a price cut either, but it could go either way.
|
Yup..... sony is at 91.6M now. Even if the sell only 15M for 2019 that will put them at 107M'ish. Which probably means they would have shipped around 110M. If they can accomplish that while keeping the price the same then sony will be more than happy to do that. And I believe they can.
