Bofferbrauer2 said:
colafitte said:
TLOU II, i can guarantee you is going to be way bigger than GOW and Spiderman. TLOU is the most popular mainstream game Sony has, by far. TLOU remastered must have sold 10M only on PS4 (more than the original on PS3) and it was just a port/remaster. Its popularity is huge and everytime there is a news about TLOU there is this anticipitacion in number of views on videos, number of comments in threads, news, etc that any other PS exclusive haven't match ever. TLOU II is going to be the biggest and most succesful PS launch when it launches and i'm pretty sure it will beat Spiderman and GOW records of sales in its first 3 days. As for the rest i was naming just a few. We still don't know what games will be during 2nd half of the year but as of right now, PS4 still has the best library of games any console can offer right now, so people will still want to buy a console in 2019.
Like i said, PS4 lineup this year is probably going to be as good as 2017 and 2018. And when i say PS5 and next box are not yet in the horizon, i mean "officially". When PS5 becames officialy announced is when PS4 sales will start to drop more seriously, but until then??, just a normal drop YOY. What i'm pretty sure is that without any official PS5 yet in 2019, PS4 won't fall from 18M to 13M, even without pricecuts, that't simply just too much. No PS console has drop so much YOY without a new console officially coming so it won't happen. 15-16M should be the lowest anyone must expect PS4 doing in 2019.
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One year ago, I would have agreed. By now however, not so much anymore.
Sure, TLOU sold 17M but that was between 2 consoles with many buying the game again on the PS4. If it only would have been released on one console, I think it would "only" have sold between 11 and 13M, the rest being double dips. PS4 got Spiderman and that one sold through 9M until BF and certainly is in those 11-13M by now; add to that the likes of RDR2 (who also sold about as much on the PS4 alone) and you got already 2 against 1 (I don't count CoD or Fifa and the like because they're annualized and their audience is already on the platform anyway) and GoW is probably bigger than anything else that will come out next year. Hence why I think next years lineup is weaker than this years.
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We will need to bet on that then...XD.
But tell me then...How many new IP's on its first game have sold 11-13M anyway, became GOTY caliber and then its sequel did not sell way more than the original?? All the other succesful games in the last 10 years that have sold 10M or more were established new IP's, so yeah, TLOU is special. And Naughty Dog is Rockstar levels of popularity in terms of respect and brand recognition. People, hard gamers and mainstream gamers alike are awaiting this game since even before it was annouced. It will define an entire generation.
If GOW did 3'1M....TLOU II definitively will do more than that, and not just only 0'2M more like SpiderMan.
