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AngryLittleAlchemist on 08 January 2019
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PwerlvlAmy said:
Train wreck said:

Sony is not Nintendo, that's your first mistake.  The PS1 was discontinued in 2006, well after the PS2.  The PS2 was discontinued in 2013, well after the PS3.  The PS3 was discontinued 2017, well after the PS4 and the PS4 will be on sales well after the PS5 is on the market, enough to pass the 100M/Wii sales.  We have the numbers and average yearly sale post a new console and I don't see the PS4 being any different from 20 years worth of history.

Early adopters will push PS5 sales, those who can afford a cheaper PS4 will push the console past those 100+/Wii/PS1 milestones.

I have not made a mistake though. It is true, expecting and doing are two completely things and just because you expect something,doesn't guarantee it will happen.  People keep trying to spin what I'm saying as if I have said PS4 will never hit 100m, when I've stated multiple times it will xD

I definitely have to wonder if the PS4's legs will be as good as a traditional PS consoles. Especially if the PS5 is backwards compatible. The Playstation 4's MSRP is still $300, despite the fact that holiday bundles were in the $200 range. And while there are bundles that are great deals even now (like the Spider-Man bundle, which is $320), it seems like it's taking a long time to get the system to $250, let alone $200. If the PS5 launches at $400, which it almost certainly will, the PS4 might not even be half the price for much less power. Someone earlier predicted that the PS4 would do a little bit more than two times what the PS3 did after the PS4 was introduced. Which I guess makes sense considering how well the PS4 is selling, but then again with gaming becoming an increasingly big market I have to wonder if casuals will buy these new systems a lot earlier than they used to. I just don't think that the legs will be the same as the PS1 or PS2's sales. iirc PS1 sold like 29-30 million after the PS2 came out, and the PS2 sold like 50 million after the PS3 came out.

I think though that 130 million is going to happen, though. I think about a year and a half ago I predicted 110-115 million in one of StarDoor's threads, but that was probably me being pessimistic. 13-15 million sales after the PS5's release makes sense. I just wouldn't be surprised if it was half of that.  What I think will make PS4's legs do well after PS5, is that multiplatform games will probably be cross generational. Which will lead to a lot of casuals buying the older cheaper console to play the new game.