PS4 sales surpass 91.6 million, Spiderman over 9 million

[DonFerrari]

colafitte said:

DonFerrari said:

You mean the same people that later said Nintendo wasn't ever expecting much sales from Labo and that it would skyrocket in the holidays (have it?)???

Or several people that found it was impossible that PS4 stood out ahead of Switch this year?

Or people that are certain that Switch is eating away PS4 and that will be the reason for its sales to decline in 2019?

Probably yes..., it's very good to have selective memory i guess. You remember things when it benefits you and forget them if not. I wish more people accepted the fact that being correct predicting things in the future is very difficult, and you can be wrong. And if time passes and time proves you wrong, then accept it and move on. I for my part I would never laugh at anybody if their prediction becomes totally wrong. It's good to have different perspectives too. You can took ideas from others that way. But we should learn from the past too and not repeat mistakes. And we should learn that holiday season does not work the same for Sony, Microsoft and Nintendo as the rest of the year, so base a prediction on what happens during November and December and expecting that pace to translate to months like January, February, May or June next year, neglecting what happened the rest of the year in prevous years is a mistake, in my opinion.

Yep you are right. And it mostly depends on the premise of the prediction and reasoning.

If you use lies or wrong things to make a prediction than you should be called out in the present not in the future anyway.

But if you use historical data, market trends, competition, what is being offered and etc and make a prediction if you are 50% above or bellow what it end up occuring that isn't reason for mockery. Unless of course you are like seeing PS4 selling 17.5M on 2016 and sales curve would say it would probably be over that in 2017 and instead of predicting 17-20M (flat to up) you put 15M then you may be target for mockery as you made a very odd prediction =p