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colafitte on 08 January 2019
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DonFerrari said:
colafitte said:

People had very bad memory in these kind of forums. People (and some very important insiders) ,12 months ago, were expecting Switch to dominate and PS4 to drop to pre 2015 levels. Then Switch sold more than PS4 in NPD January 2018 and with LABO coming and Smash announced with serious doubts about GOW launch, people started dooming PS4 more than ever. But here we are and we can see PS4 still has sold a lot, most probably more than any other competitor (or kind of competitor if you want ) and is on pace to be the fastest home console reaching 100M sold. 

So yes, we should expect PS4 droping in sales this year, of course, but PS4 is not going to drop from a cliff in 2019. Going from 20M in 2017 to 18M in 2018 to 16-17M in 2019 is the best thing a home console entering its 6th year can possibly do. 

You mean the same people that later said Nintendo wasn't ever expecting much sales from Labo and that it would skyrocket in the holidays (have it?)???

Or several people that found it was impossible that PS4 stood out ahead of Switch this year?

Or people that are certain that Switch is eating away PS4 and that will be the reason for its sales to decline in 2019?

Probably yes..., it's very good to have selective memory i guess. You remember things when it benefits you and forget them if not. I wish more people accepted the fact that being correct predicting things in the future is very difficult, and you can be wrong. And if time passes and time proves you wrong, then accept it and move on. I for my part I would never laugh at anybody if their prediction becomes totally wrong. It's good to have different perspectives too. You can took ideas from others that way. But we should learn from the past too and not repeat mistakes. And we should learn that holiday season does not work the same for Sony, Microsoft and Nintendo as the rest of the year, so base a prediction on what happens during November and December and expecting that pace to translate to months like January, February, May or June next year, neglecting what happened the rest of the year in prevous years is a mistake, in my opinion.