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JRPGfan said:
Train wreck said:

Even applying a pessimistic -25/50 you will still get

 13.5

6.75

which is 111 million sellthru by 2020

Thats way to pessimistic.
This year they only did a short time temp price cut, but other than that it was 299$ all year round... . and it sold through 18m+

Next year the drop off wont be more than 2m or so, if Sony give it just a small price cut (permanent one).


plus "Last of Us - part 2" is a HUGE title.... akin to say Mario Odessey for the switch.
This game should push quite a few consoles, so even in 2020 I doubt sales will be super low.

Yea I personally believe it'll be (sold thru not shipped)

2019 - 15.3 (-15%)

2020 - 11.0 (-28%)

2021 -  6.6 (-40%)

Discontinued at year 10 or 11 at 125-130ish million.

Last edited by Train wreck - on 07 January 2019