November NPD 2018 Thread

[zorg1000]

Intrinsic said:

Bandorr said:

Reading this it sounds like PS4 "won" NPD.
More importantly it makes the 24th month - two years - that Xbox has "won" an NPD.
With the last one being November of 2016.

I find that interesting because I would have guessed(and probably did actually) that wouldn't happen. I expected the switch and ps4 to "steal" from each other having so many niche(ish) games in common. Instead it seems they actually are amplifying each other.

Instead of splitting the vote so to speak, they are multiplying each other. Instead of say going from 1.00 to .75, they are instead both at 1.25. Or at least that is how it feels.

I just didn't see that happening.

I think its always been known that the NS isn't competing in the same space that the PS4/XB1 does. This was most evident in 2017. And I dare say nintendo es out f their way to make sure this is always the case.

RolStoppable said:

There is definitely overlap between Switch and PS4 ownership. The catch is that a PS4 purchase doesn't rule out a Switch purchase like it rules out an Xbox One purchase. And vice versa, a Switch purchase doesn't rule out the purchase of either a PS4 or Xbox One.

That's something that people should keep in mind when they wonder if the next PS and Xbox consoles will impact Switch negatively. Hint: They won't.

I wouldnt go as far as say impact switch negatively but the switch doesn't exist in a bubble.

Mindshare and media coverage is also very important. And for most of 2020 all that any media publication would be talking about will be the PS5 and XB4. Their renewed marketing push for their new upcoming consoles will dominate TV and ads. Those will be the new "hot item" for the holidays... etc. You can't really think all that will have zero effect on the NS. This is not saying that the people that buy those new consoles won't maybe one day still buy the NS, but the focus of the conversation will change for a while come 2020.  

Playstation 4 Pro-Nov 2016

Nintendo Switch-March 2017

Xbox One X-Nov 2017

Switch released right in between the mid-gen upgrades for PS4/XBO and they have had no noticeable effect on Switch and vice versa.

 

PS5/XB4 are likely coming in late 2020 which is ~3.5 years after the Switch launch and should be right around the time Switch gets it's own mid-gen upgrade (3DS, PS4, XBO all got 3-4 years after launch).

This should help negate any potential decline caused by the new PS/XB consoles.