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wombat123 on 18 December 2018
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Intrinsic said:
wombat123 said:

My opinion is that it's only acceptable to up your predictions if it isn't obvious that you're going to be wrong.

I was of the impression that admitting you will be wrong and upping your predictions is only acceptable when its obvious you will be wrong. As long as you admit it though.

I don't get what the issue here is though..... I made a prediction 3 months before the machine even was released.... changed it a year later. You guys are acting like I am the only one that did this. No one expected the switch to do this well back then. There were even predictions from people saying 25M - 75M.

And my reasons cited were price and lack of third parties. Those are the same reasons I am still holding onto till this day.

Personally, no.  If I low-balled the sales projections for a game/console and was proven wrong early on, I'd just stop while I was behind.  In hindsight though, I'd give you a mulligan for your initial Switch projection because, like you said, a lot of people (even longtime Nintendo fans) gave low numbers for it; plus, the only ones I'd be willing to take to task are the ones that made a spectacle about low-balling the Switch's sales potential early on (three of whom I can think of off-hand).  That being said, while a lot of people predicted low numbers for the Switch early on and then adjusted, I don't see a lot of those people putting a big spotlight on themselves by going on for 30+ pages defending their adjusted projections that still don't make much sense to a lot of Nintendo fans.