November NPD 2018 Thread

[zorg1000]

Intrinsic said:

zorg1000 said:

Cool, you upped your prediction when it was painfully clear you were wrong, is that supposed to made your new estimate more credible?

What does your 2nd paragraph have to do with anything?

Dude...... its a prediction. We aren't getting paid for this. I made a prediction based on how thins were before the console even released. It ended up being more successful than I foresaw. I changed my prediction. Doubled my original tally, admitted that it has been more successful.

This prediction isn't any more or less credible than the last one. Why? because its just a prediction, based on nothing but my opinion which is based on my own interpretation of the facts.

And what that second paragraph has to do with anything is that at the time no one really could know how well the NS was going to do. Hell if you really want t dig into my post history there are multiple times that I kept insisting that we have t wait a year at least before any real predictions can be made. 

I at least admitted i was wrong, as opposed to run away from the site or act like I never made such a prediction. Even in this thread I had referenced my previous much lower prediction. Considering how long ago it as though I just forgot I said 35M - 40M as opposed to 40M-50M. But I am sure if i did through my post history i said something like that too.

I get that but you were the one who said, "Doesn't that just go to show I adjust predictions as the market changes" as if I should commend you for changing a bad prediction once it's clear it wont happen.

 

And dont even start with the whole "nobody could tell it would be a success" argument because that's not true. As far back as 2014, myself and others talked about how a potential unified platform that consolidated their handheld and home console markets would be a big success with a minimum of 3DS level sales.

Last edited by zorg1000 - on 18 December 2018