November NPD 2018 Thread

[manuelogando40]

Intrinsic said:

PAOerfulone said:
Matching the 3DS is the absolute bare minimum of the Switch.

My Switch LTD predictions:

FY 2017: 2.74m
FY 2018: 15.05m (17.79m)
FY 2019: 19m (36.79m)
FY 2020: 21m (57.79m) - Animal Crossing, Pokemon Gen 8, price cut/hardware revision to $250. Peak year.
FY 2021: 16m (73.79m) - MP4, Bayo 3, Pokemon Gen 4 remakes, growing 3rd party support.
FY 2022: 12m (85.79m) - hardware revision/price cut to $200.
FY 2023: 11m (96.79m) - Pokemon Gen 9 in November, NS2 Launch in March.
FY 2024: 8m (104.79m) - hardware revision/price cut to $150.
FY 2025: 4m (108.79m)
FY 2026: 1.21m (110m)
FY 2027: 0.30m (110.30m) - Discontinuation
FY 2028: 0.03m (110.33m) - Final year on the market.

Americas: ~44 million
Europe: ~27 million
Japan: ~27 million
Others: ~12 million

Unrealistic if you ask me. The jumps and drops are too much. Increasing by 4M from 15M to 19M, then anther 3M increase from 19M to 21M then  massive 5M drop from 21M to 16M........... nope, sales just don't work like that.

Yes. Sales work just like that.