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Intrinsic on 17 December 2018
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Acevil said:
Intrinsic said:

Of curse not. By march next year which will be its "first two years" it would have sold around 32M. And unless something greatly changes it will average around 800k sales a month up until around november and december.

So lets not get ahead of ourselves here. 

You really think it will only reach 32 by march? I'm pessimistic about nintendo shipment but only shipping 15 million?

Right now (using VGC numbers) the NS is at  24M. Now if for the last 5 weeks of the year it somehow sells 1M per week thats 5M brining its total to 29M by the end f the year. Then come january its back to selling at the normal rate. If it remains flat then we are looking at around 800k/month and if the baseline goes up then say around 1M/month.

I assumed the baseline will go up and that will bring january through march sales to around 3M. Thats how I ended up with 32M, and you think that is pessimistic?

This is looking at how sales has been this year and even making accomodations for the baseline going up next year. And predicting sales of 5M over the last 5 weeks of this year.